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| + | == WNBA power rankings- Sorting out the playoff contenders == | ||
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| + | <html>MEV differentials since the All-Star break.<br>* Team has not updated stats since 8/23/13 | ||
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| + | Here Seattle's deficiencies as a low scoring team with a major turnover problem - and interestingly given their defensive ability, a team that doesn't force turnovers much - really stand out: although these numbers clearly don't correlate directly to winning,[http://www.jerseys-online.org/new-york-giants-online-598_657 Giants Jerseys China], they do tell a story of a team that is managing to win despite some major inefficiencies. They're a team without a major strength and it all adds up to being outperformed statistically on average. | ||
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| + | San Antonio and Tulsa are essentially the opposite: teams that do enough to keep games close statistically, but struggle to finish the deal. Phoenix is an efficient scoring team that puts up a lot of points - and is playing much better defense to improve their differential - but has developed a turnover weakness that does them no favors when trying to win games. | ||
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| + | Who knows what to make of New York or Washington: the former still has a major turnover problem, the latter has been the least efficient shooting team by a significant margin since the break. | ||
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| + | So after all that let's try to put together a hierarchy. | ||
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| + | Swish Appeal power rankings | ||
| + | 1. Minnesota Lynx: Despite the preseason hype, the Minnesota Lynx have emerged as the clear class of the league, not because they're flawless but because they have the least glaring problems and the balance to overcome those problems over the long haul. | ||
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| + | 2. Los Angeles Sparks: You could argue that Chicago belongs here,[http://www.lg520.cn/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=1538534 Ribery beats Messi to UEFA Player Award], but the Four Factors tell an important story: the Sparks have a dominant strength in scoring efficiency (50.17% eFG% is second to only Minnesota and they have a better differential). That and their ability to turn up the intensity and be a smothering team with efficient threats inside and out give them a bit of an edge. But Minnesota has separated themselves from the pack a bit to the point where it almost makes sense to say that the WNBA features a one-team elite right now: the numbers end up showing how much a poor performance like the one against the Tulsa Shock hurt the Sparks - they're now playing well below the level they were in the first half of the season. If they can snag home court advantage in the playoffs - and it's a big "if" - they could find themselves in the Finals. | ||
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| + | 3. Chicago Sky: Chicago's erratic play since the All-Star break can be traced directly to Elena Delle Donne's absence. With her, they've made a bit of a surge to win five straight. Their flaw is that they rely heavily on two players to generate offense - Delle Donne and Epiphanny Prince - and Prince has not been extremely efficient (50.24% TS%). When one or both is off the floor, their offense stalls and that's reflected in the drop in their narrow scoring efficiency margin since the break. | ||
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| + | 4. Atlanta Dream: Similar to the Sparks, the Dream's numbers took a bit of nosedive in the past week after a loss to Washington on the road and Chicago at home. But how much does the absence of key players in Sancho Lyttle and Tiffany Hayes figure into that? | ||
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| + | 5. Indiana Fever: The Fever have lost four of their last five now, but all four of those losses were on the road against Western Conference teams. They still haven't lost to an Eastern Conference opponent with Tamika Catchings on the floor since July 23, when Cappie Pondexter turned in a heroic fourth quarter effort to upend them. And they could still move up in the standings as they finish the season against Connecticut (twice), New York and Washington. Their numbers make it hard to put them ahead of the two teams above them right now,[http://www.jerseys-online.org/carolina-panthers-online-598_635 Carolina Panthers Jerseys China], but these top three Eastern Conference teams are probably closer than their numbers or records make them appear: if Indiana can force a team like Chicago into turnovers and hold onto the ball against a team like Atlanta, they're as good as anyone in the conference. | ||
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| + | 6. Phoenix Mercury: The Mercury's numbers are up since the All-Star break (and the coaching change), but marginal performances against the bottom half of the Western Conference this past week don't do much to inspire confidence in them. But with the Storm's end-of-season schedule as it is and the Silver Stars significantly behind, it seems unlikely that Phoenix will lose the third seed. | ||
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| + | 7. Seattle Storm: Sweeping the Phoenix Mercury this regular season is quite an accomplishment for this Storm team that began the season with low expectations. While they continue to outperform their numbers with pure effort, they're starting to trend upward statistically. | ||
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| + | 8. Tulsa Shock: Tulsa actually had a pretty good week despite going 1-2: they lost by a combined four points to Phoenix and L.A. while taking care of San Antonio. And that is pretty much the story of their season: they have enough talent to be competitive against any opponent in the league, but finishing games has proven to be a problem. | ||
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| + | 9. Washington Mystics: Washington just can't seem to establish any momentum in the second half of the season - they'll look solid one quarter and then like the "old Mystics" the next, as Mike Thibault might say. They've been struggling to score - in large part because they've fallen in love with the 3-pointer while only shooting 29% since the All-Star break - since the All-Star break that it makes it hard to rank them higher. | ||
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| + | 10. San Antonio Silver Stars: Similar to Seattle, the Silver Stars are even this high due to pure effort. Losing Danielle Robinson hurt, but they turned right around and beat Seattle at home to set up a big regular season tiebreaker at home tonight. | ||
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| + | 11. New York Liberty: The Liberty will have some big decisions to make this offseason. They've been trending mediocre for a few years now and they're simply not playing well. But they're also trending upwards while the Mystics - just half a game ahead of them in fourth place in the East - are trending downward, which could help the Liberty find themselves in the playoffs again. | ||
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| + | 12. Connecticut Sun: This season has been a major disappointment for the Sun no matter how you slice it. With their major bright spot (Allison Hightower) out for the season, it's all about pride for them at this point.</html> | ||
